Is there a ‘10%’ chance AI kills us all, or cures all diseases?

TL;DR


Summary:
- The article critically examines the speculative claim made by some AI researchers that there is a 10% probability of artificial intelligence causing human extinction.
- Dr. Prasad argues that such predictions lack empirical grounding and function more as "secular theology" or unfalsifiable conjecture rather than rigorous scientific forecasting.
- The analysis emphasizes the necessity of distinguishing between tangible, current-day algorithmic harms and hypothetical, existential risks that currently lack a defined methodology for risk assessment.

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